Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 304.338767 345.949681 392.750712 449.597266 517.191111 595.507268 693.859574
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 235.875044 287.382827 350.715192 435.455923 547.635121 693.615040 902.315798
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 198.988214 253.120922 323.534636 423.889908 566.730576 768.399448 1085.519448
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 181.210767 239.024765 317.919949 436.728590 617.179935 891.857063 1365.023783
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 164.548287 223.446544 306.999896 438.674705 649.940915 993.211307 1634.980168
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 148.469504 206.392698 291.195146 429.955413 663.117536 1063.894260 1869.718330
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 137.492179 195.363908 282.643427 430.674903 690.836608 1163.705885 2187.818068
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 125.978640 182.236717 269.179939 421.118395 698.490641 1227.544885 2451.416493
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 117.642766 173.156220 261.015760 419.153588 719.034159 1319.828430 2808.881900
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 106.954522 159.394500 243.825820 399.092176 701.896028 1331.285793 2975.905636
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 104.367016 158.440316 247.761962 417.436085 762.838931 1523.119425 3685.035492
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 102.871803 159.093996 254.400734 441.550741 839.902385 1771.805249 4679.965360
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 97.506977 152.933666 248.765834 441.827525 867.369155 1912.561292 5434.601845
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.750436 143.889878 237.184387 428.934083 863.425206 1973.219811 5957.846373
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 84.878508 135.957338 226.936207 417.513127 860.939225 2037.526407 6537.552235
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 82.615900 134.246002 228.102314 430.114251 918.493884 2289.032703 8057.918160
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 79.236759 130.252753 224.537451 432.022880 949.797144 2473.200904 9445.269472
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 74.955953 124.308430 216.680701 423.469186 952.433359 2568.218687 10485.643593
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 72.031942 120.686472 213.101730 424.175044 980.126768 2756.517857 12227.020900
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 68.290791 115.289526 205.542791 414.799091 978.303850 2842.155781 13463.976831
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 65.569720 111.669374 201.326027 412.871278 997.564866 3012.883016 15476.199914
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 61.343379 104.921824 190.205902 393.185025 961.528339 2961.621671 15863.684335
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 60.881397 105.449245 194.281860 411.186075 1042.473598 3408.358473 20822.753046